9
crop,
the
lowest
in
10
years,
except
for
1997
(when
plant
illnesses
had
damaged
tomatoes
in
large
proportion)
.
CHINA
:
Sound
and
strong
factories,
paying
cash
their
raw
material
such
as
Tuhne
and
Chalkis,
are
currently
running
fine,
close
to
full
capacity
.
But
most
of
smaller
units
still
run
very
slowly
with
many
just
reaching
50
%
of
capacity
.
There
again,
a
sharp
decrease
soon
in
the
supply
of
fresh
tomatoes
is
feared
.
At
this
stage,
we
expect
production
to
be
around
50
%
of
2000
volumes
at
150
000
Mt
.
only
.
TUNISIA
:
Crop
estimates
vary
between
400
000
and
450
000
Mt
.
Against
650
000
Mt
.
Expected
before
the
crop
and
more
than
700
000
Mt
.
BRIEF
ON
MARKET
CONDITIONS:
-
In
Europe,
factories
with
uncontracted
products
have
either
increased
their
prices
or
even
withdrawn
from
the
market
.
It
is
now
widely
agreed
upon
that
prices
will
move
higher
.
Question
is
by
how
much
.
This
will
greatly
depend
on
abilities
for
processors
to
produce
properly
in
September
.
-
As
explained
earlier,
the
financial
crisis
in
Turkey
makes
it
difficult
to
understand
the
local
situation
.
Needs
for
cash
push
some
factories
to
maintain
cheap
prices
when
others
try
to
build
up
stocks
for
better
prices
ahead
.
Also,
Turkish
factories
balance
between
producing
for
local
market
(quite
attractive
but
requesting
long
term
storage
and
financing)
and
export
markets
.
Therefore,
prices
from
Turkey
are
quite
uncertain
at
this
time
.
-
China
is
definitely
on
the
way
to
a
prices
hike;
big
processors
officially
try
to
impose
a
high
minimum
price
when
smaller
factories
tend
to
sell
goods
for
quick
shipments
.
No
hope
for
buyers
to
see
prices
even
close
to
the
bottom
levels
they
experienced
last
crop
.
-
In
the
USA,
most
contracts
are
made
on
long
term
basis
(on
several
years
sometimes)
and
prices
are
less
elastic
than
in
the
rest
of
the
world
.
One
East
Coast
trader
reports
that
Californian
processors
start
to
withdraw
from
the
market
and
one
seller
is
beginning
to
prorate
his
customers;
but,
surprisingly,
market
is
still
relatively
soft
with
prices
still
around
the
same
level
at
around
29
cents
per
Lb
.
For
30/32
HB
in
bins
.
Prices
will
go
up
but
it
is
not
sure
whether
the
increase
will
be
so
high;
it
is
now
admitted
that
USA
will
import
paste
from
foreign
countries
.
-
Chile
has
already
understood
very
well
the
world
situation
and
will
try
to
use
their
counter
<